MSR DECODE · July 2026 cycle · №11 of 25
weatherman12
0xd1c537b2a7cba8d365e111bffb9de7b205e2cbd0
$1.8M · 30-day displayed profit
Real edge
The profit reconstructs and the mechanism is copyable in kind. Whether it’s copyable by you — sizing, timing, liquidity — is the harder question, and this rating does not answer it: we never tested order acceptance, depth, or whether a quote existed in any size.
Copyable — provisional
Provisional
Selection-time fetch measured 5.6 points of displayed profit short by the corrected re-fetch of 2026-07-26 (register row U8). The frozen cycle keeps the original figures, with the correction published beside them. See the evidence gate →
Polymarket displayed
$1.82M
MSR reconstructed
$1.82M
99.8% of displayed
Reconstruction error for all 25 wallets this cycle is published in full in the reconstruction workpaper.
Directional
97.6%
Post-resolution
0%
Bilateral (two-sided)
2.4%
100% reconstruction, textbook directional across 41 markets.
9898 fills · 41 markets · avg buy $0.568 · top market: Japan vs. Sweden: O/U 2.5
weatherman12 cleared the copyability screen. Track it forward — gains and losses — at 24h / 7d / 30d in the Ledger.
Institutional: get this decode — or any wallet or cohort — as a decision-grade forensic audit. For funds, platforms & compliance teams →