The research hub.
MSR Decode's public research is not a side project — it develops the reusable methods, infrastructure and specialist market knowledge that strengthen commissioned investigations. Findings are dated; corrections are appended, never erased.
Research Notes
Shorter-form research notes, published as they’re completed.
Methods & Archive
Methodology, workpapers, corrections, historical research and public research tools. MSR Decode’s first published research program — the July 2026 wallet-copyability audit — is retired but remains permanently public here.
Explore Methods & Archive
Current methods
- Methodology — the ten-step general investigative standard applied to every question MSR Decode takes on.
- Research archive & corrections — published research, material revisions and dated corrections. Material corrections remain visible rather than being silently overwritten.
Workpapers
- Reconstruction Workpaper — per-wallet reconstructions and measured reconstruction error, published in full.
Historical research — July 2026 Program · retired August 26, 2026
25 wallets audited under the published July methodology — 6 passed the published July screen, 15 refused for insufficient evidence.
- Scorecard — the published July 2026 leaderboard audit of the highest-earning wallets on Polymarket, scored against a published verdict rule.
- Prospective Copyability Ledger — forward-tested outcomes on every “Real edge” verdict, published at fixed checkpoints, gains and losses alike.
Public research tools
- Wallet checker — paste a Polymarket wallet and see the fill-by-fill reconstruction yourself, as a historical replay over the published July cohort.