MSR DECODE · July 2026 cycle · №13 of 25
palegrit
0xf5fabdcdc6eb6d9765a228824f16cca9c91f62df
$1.7M · 30-day displayed profit
Real edge
This wallet passed the July 2026 screen for a directional trading pattern and reconstruction agreement. The screen did not test whether another trader could obtain the same prices or results.
Copyable — verified
Verified
Polymarket displayed
$1.69M
MSR reconstructed
$1.69M
99.9% of displayed
Reconstruction error for all 25 wallets this cycle is published in full in the reconstruction workpaper.
Directional
100%
Post-resolution
0%
Bilateral (two-sided)
0%
September 20, 2026 clarification. The wallet primarily bought outcomes priced as favorites. The page does not treat that pattern as a recommendation.
Historical July rationale: 100% reconstruction, disciplined favorite-buyer.
1,207 fills · 24 markets · avg buy $0.747 · top market: Wimbledon ATP: Jannik Sinner vs Alexander Zve
palegrit cleared the historical screen. Read the completed historical simulation and its assumptions in the Ledger.
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