MSR Decode
MSR DECODE · July 2026 cycle · №10 of 25

muchobliged

0x095fbca2e0eaf0c9841005135427e1e0117190b2

$2.0M · 30-day displayed profit

Real edge

The profit reconstructs and the mechanism is copyable. Whether it’s copyable by you — sizing, timing, liquidity — is the harder question, and the one this rating is about.

Copyable — verified

Verified

Polymarket displayed
$2.03M
MSR reconstructed
$1.79M
88.1% of displayed

Reconstruction error for all 25 wallets this cycle — including the ones we got wrong — is published in the reconstruction workpaper.

Directional
100%
Post-resolution
0%
Bilateral (two-sided)
0%

88% reconstruction; concentration flag, still directional.

6296 fills · 20 markets · avg buy $0.541 · top market: France vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5

muchobliged cleared the copyability screen. Run the full reconstruction yourself, or track it forward — gains and losses — at 24h / 7d / 30d in the Ledger.

Institutional: get this decode — or any wallet or cohort — as a decision-grade forensic audit. For funds, platforms & compliance teams →

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