MSR Decode

Archive · Historical researchJuly 2026 ProgramRetired August 26, 2026

This page preserves a wallet result from MSR Decode's July 2026 leaderboard-copyability study. The program is historical and is not a current recurring rating cycle. The original reconstruction, classification and disclosed limitations remain preserved below.

Current MSR Research →

MSR DECODE · July 2026 cycle · №12 of 25

hot2trot

0xb61b2079b95f6b7476fd3203e0274ffb93308a06

$1.8M · 30-day displayed profit

Published July 2026 verdict
Real edge — Copyable

Frozen under the methodology used for the July 2026 cycle.

Current-method remeasurement
Outside the published reconstruction band

Under the corrected activity fetch, reconstructed profit measures approximately 133.7% of displayed profit — outside the ±15% band used for the July stamp. Source: u7-window-matched-2026-07-26.json; logged as U8 in the register.

July-cycle classification: Real edge

The profit reconstructs and the mechanism is copyable in kind. Whether it’s copyable by you — sizing, timing, liquidity — is the harder question, and this rating does not answer it: we never tested order acceptance, depth, or whether a quote existed in any size.

July-cycle status: Copyable — provisional

Provisional

Selection-time fetch measured 22.9 points of displayed profit short by the corrected re-fetch of 2026-07-26 (register row U8). The frozen cycle keeps the original figures, with the correction published beside them. See the evidence gate →

Polymarket displayed
$1.79M
MSR reconstructed
$1.98M
110.8% of displayed

Reconstruction error for all 25 wallets this cycle is published in full in the reconstruction workpaper.

Directional
95.7%
Post-resolution
0%
Bilateral (two-sided)
4.3%

111% reconstruction, low two-sided share, no crutch.

5929 fills · 47 markets · avg buy $0.498 · top market: Spread: Spain (-1.5)

hot2trot cleared the published July 2026 copyability screen. Track it forward — gains and losses — at 24h / 7d / 30d in the Ledger.

Institutional: get this decode — or any wallet or cohort — as a decision-grade forensic audit. For funds, platforms & compliance teams →

This page is part of MSR Decode's historical July 2026 research program.