MSR DECODE · July 2026 cycle · №1 of 25
DEEDDIT
0x09b428f7c2b469786286214aa5c90dd9015f7320
$8.1M · 30-day displayed profit
Real edge
This wallet passed the July 2026 screen for a directional trading pattern and reconstruction agreement. The screen did not test whether another trader could obtain the same prices or results.
Copyable — provisional
Provisional
Fill log truncated in its largest market (the /activity endpoint's hard offset cap). See the evidence gate →
Polymarket displayed
$8.05M
MSR reconstructed
$8.24M
102.3% of displayed
Reconstruction error for all 25 wallets this cycle is published in full in the reconstruction workpaper.
Directional
100%
Post-resolution
0%
Bilateral (two-sided)
0%
September 20, 2026 clarification. The reconstructed amount is 102.3% of displayed profit, but a known data gap keeps the evidence provisional. Activity was classified as directional across several sports markets.
Historical July rationale: 102% reconstruction on a fill log truncated in its largest market (disclosed in the workpaper); diversified sports directional.
8,310 fills · 17 markets · avg buy $0.509 · top market: Will Belgium win on 2026-07-01?
DEEDDIT cleared the historical screen. Read the completed historical simulation and its assumptions in the Ledger.
Discuss a scoped investigation of a wallet, market, or group of accounts. For funds, platforms & compliance teams →