Discuss a matter

Capabilities / Corporate & Internal Investigations

Does the market record support the internal concern?

For corporate compliance officers and internal-investigations leads examining possible employee prediction-market activity. Your team holds the internal record — who had access, and when. MSR Decode reconstructs the market record: what traded, when positions were built, and the economic result where reconstructable. MSR does not work from a name to a wallet — your team brings the account, or the market and the time window.

How the evidence divides
Your team

Employee identity, access logs, internal communications

MSR Decode

Trading chronology, positions, economic result

Examined together, not interchangeably. MSR does not identify an anonymous account as a specific employee without evidence your team supplies that supports the link.

Contents
  1. Who this is for
  2. Typical questions
  3. What each side reconstructs
  4. Analytical methods
  5. Potential work product
  6. One strong proof case
  7. Scope boundaries
  8. Discuss a matter

Who this is for

Corporate compliance officers and internal-investigations leads who already hold the internal evidence — employee identity, information-access logs, communications, employment records — and need the external market activity reconstructed independently to examine alongside it.

Typical questions

  • Does the market record show activity in a relevant contract during the period in question?
  • Does a reported gain or loss for a specific account survive reconstruction from the underlying fills?
  • Does the available evidence support a link between a specific account and the matter under review, or does it stop short of that?
  • Could the activity have a benign, mechanical explanation — market-making, arbitrage, ordinary participation?
  • What does the public and venue record establish, and what does it leave open?

What each side reconstructs

The company owns the internal evidence. MSR reconstructs the external market evidence. Both are needed; neither substitutes for the other.

Your team's evidence

Employee identity, information-access logs, emails and messages, device records, internal announcement timelines, and employment responsibilities.

MSR's evidence

Relevant contracts, trading chronology, account activity where observable, positions, economic exposure, realized results where reconstructable, funding relationships where supported, and market mechanics.

Analytical methods

The same disclosed, ten-step standard used throughout MSR's public research — question, provenance, semantics, completeness, reconstruction, alternative explanations, materiality, conclusion, reproduction, corrections. See the full methodology. An account-to-individual link is tested against evidence your team supplies, never assumed from trading similarity alone.

Potential work product

Scope determines which of these ship for a given engagement.

  • Executive finding — a clear answer to the bounded question.
  • Transaction / reconstruction ledger — the underlying trade and transaction accounting.
  • Source schedule — records, URLs, APIs, datasets and provenance.
  • Timeline — trading activity against relevant external events.
  • Technical workpaper — methods, assumptions, limitations and reproduction material.

Scope boundaries

MSR has no access to your organization's internal systems and does not identify an anonymous account as a specific individual without evidence your team supplies that supports the link. This is not a continuous employee-monitoring service and does not run automatically — each engagement is scoped to a defined question, and MSR does not claim to automatically detect insider trading.

Transaction evidence alone does not establish identity, intent or possession of nonpublic information without independent corroboration. A negative or insufficient-evidence finding is a valid outcome, not a failed engagement; see the independence policy.

Discuss a matter

MSR reviews the question, available records, scope and appropriate work product before accepting an engagement. Please begin with a high-level description — do not send employee names, confidential documents or other sensitive personal information through the inquiry form.