MSR DECODE · July 2026 cycle · №2 of 25
swisstony
0x204f72f35326db932158cba6adff0b9a1da95e14
$6.8M · 30-day displayed profit
Insufficient evidence
Our original fetch of this wallet was incomplete — 1.7% of the fills we have since measured — and we published figures computed from it. The fill and market counts below were rebuilt 2026-07-18 from the most complete re-fetch obtained; the reconciliation figures were not. We cannot verify the displayed profit from this reconstruction.
Not established under the July method
Insufficient data
Polymarket displayed
$6.83M
MSR reconstructed
Withheld
superseded fetch — see below
Reconstruction error for all 25 wallets this cycle is published in full in the reconstruction workpaper.
Directional
53.5%
Post-resolution
3.6%
Bilateral (two-sided)
42.9%
For this incomplete-retrieval record, these mechanism percentages describe the original partial sample and were not recomputed from later counts.
September 20, 2026 clarification. The refreshed fill and market counts do not recompute the financial or mechanism fields. This page cannot verify displayed profit from the original partial reconstruction.
Historical July rationale: Our original fetch was incomplete; the reconstruction figures below are unchanged from that partial sample and remain unproven for this wallet.
We are not refusing this wallet because its book is unreadable. We are refusing it because our original fetch of it was incomplete (1.7% of the fills we have since measured), and we published figures computed from it before noticing. The fill and market counts on this page were rebuilt 2026-07-18 from the most complete re-fetch obtained (provenance: u1-swisstony-provenance.json); the reconciliation figures were not rebuilt and are not evidence about the trader. This is a data-completeness gap in our own fetch, not a finding about the trader — logged as U1 in the standing unreconciled-items table, alongside the full 24-wallet completeness ledger (U2).
888,820 fills · 16,258 markets · avg buy $0.71 · top market: Will France win on 2026-07-14?
This wallet did not clear the copyability screen — only 6 of 25 earned a copyable rating. See the ones that did.
Discuss a scoped investigation of a wallet, market, or group of accounts. For funds, platforms & compliance teams →