MSR Decode
MSR DECODE · July 2026 cycle · №2 of 25

swisstony

0x204f72f35326db932158cba6adff0b9a1da95e14

$6.8M · 30-day displayed profit

Insufficient evidence

Our original fetch of this wallet was incomplete — 1.7% of the fills we have since measured — and we published figures computed from it. The fill and market counts below were rebuilt 2026-07-18 from the most complete re-fetch obtained; the reconciliation figures were not, and we still can’t say anything about the trader.

Unverified — book won't close

Insufficient data

Polymarket displayed
$6.83M
MSR reconstructed
$1.49M
21.9% of displayed

Reconstruction error for all 25 wallets this cycle — including the ones we got wrong — is published in the reconstruction workpaper.

Directional
53.5%
Post-resolution
3.6%
Bilateral (two-sided)
42.9%

Our original fetch was incomplete; the reconstruction figures below are unchanged from that partial sample and remain unproven for this wallet.

We are not refusing this wallet because its book is unreadable. We are refusing it because our original fetch of it was incomplete (1.7% of the fills we have since measured), and we published figures computed from it before noticing. The fill and market counts on this page were rebuilt 2026-07-18 from the most complete re-fetch obtained (provenance: u1-swisstony-provenance.json); the reconciliation figures were not rebuilt and are not evidence about the trader. The correction is ours to carry, not his — logged as U1 in the standing unreconciled-items table, alongside the full 24-wallet completeness ledger (U2).

888820 fills · 16258 markets · avg buy $0.71 · top market: Will France win on 2026-07-14?

This wallet did not clear the copyability screen — only 6 of 25 earned a copyable rating. See the ones that did.

Institutional: get this decode — or any wallet or cohort — as a decision-grade forensic audit. For funds, platforms & compliance teams →

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