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Archive · Historical researchJuly 2026 ProgramRetired August 26, 2026

This page preserves a wallet result from MSR Decode's July 2026 leaderboard-copyability study. The program is historical and is not a current recurring rating cycle. The original reconstruction, classification and disclosed limitations remain preserved below.

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MSR DECODE · July 2026 cycle · №8 of 25

ramadamaramadam

0x5b4ec9c06b284ee52c41a761974d836992880232

$2.2M · 30-day displayed profit

Insufficient evidence

The available records do not support a reliable reconstruction under the July 2026 method. The limitations are explained below.

Not established under the July method

Insufficient data

Polymarket displayed
$2.23M
MSR reconstructed
$1.4M
62.9% of displayed

Reconstruction error for all 25 wallets this cycle is published in full in the reconstruction workpaper.

Directional
94%
Post-resolution
0%
Bilateral (two-sided)
6%

September 20, 2026 clarification. The record shows no clear trading pattern that supports a classification. The 62.9% and 81.54% figures are different dated calculations.

Historical July rationale: 63% reconstruction on a fill log our own engine flags truncated — the shortfall may be ours, and no dominant tell separates it. The gap is unreconciled.

The book won’t reconcile from public data, so we don’t guess. That refusal is the product. Our verbatim rationale for this wallet is on file in the reconstruction workpaper, next to the errors on the wallets we did score.

Corrected 2026-07-25. Re-fetching this wallet with the corrected pipeline measured 81.54% of displayed — an under-reconstruction — and a blind second implementation, run without access to ours, measured 81.25%. The 62.9% above was our data gap, not the wallet’s: it came from the fetch that silently omitted maker-side fills, the same failure we retracted in the endpoint case. The corrected figure still lands outside the ±15% band, so the verdict does not move, and the July 2026 cycle stays frozen on the fetch that produced it — the correction is published beside the original, not adopted. Source: scorecard-refetch-2026-07-25.json; the dated correction is on the Scorecard.

11,588 fills · 67 markets · avg buy $0.533 · top market: Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?

This wallet did not clear the copyability screen — only 6 of 25 earned a copyable rating. See the ones that did.

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This page is part of MSR Decode's historical July 2026 research program.