pada
$1.0M · 30-day displayed profit
The available records do not support a reliable reconstruction under the July 2026 method. The limitations are explained below.
Not established under the July method
Insufficient data
Reconstruction error for all 25 wallets this cycle is published in full in the reconstruction workpaper.
September 20, 2026 clarification. The original retrieval captured 1.9% of the later measured record and failed the completeness check. Missing boundary prices mean the historical result is not final.
Historical July rationale: Some late-price buys but no dominant tell; won't reconcile.
The book won’t reconcile from public data, so we don’t guess. That refusal is the product. Our verbatim rationale for this wallet is on file in the reconstruction workpaper, next to the errors on the wallets we did score.
Measured again 2026-07-26 (U7) — partial. The -14.2% above divides a lifetime reconstruction by a 30-day displayed figure. Recomputed over the same 30-day window the displayed figure covers, this wallet reconstructs 1.9% of displayed — but the recompute fails its own controls for this wallet: an incomplete boundary (2 positions we could not price at the window edge) and a share-ledger reconciliation against Polymarket’s own /positions that does not fully pass. The register carries it as a partial measurement, flagged rather than published as complete, and the verdict above — the frozen July 2026 cycle’s — does not move. Source: u7-window-matched-2026-07-26.json; logged as U7 in the register.
6,093 fills · 91 markets · avg buy $0.436 · top market: Fed rate hike in 2026?
This wallet did not clear the copyability screen — only 6 of 25 earned a copyable rating. See the ones that did.
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