MSR Decode
MSR DECODE · July 2026 cycle · №19 of 25

alwayslatetotheparty

0xb687f00464e33934f5d591f224e71c3559ecaee5

$1.1M · 30-day displayed profit

One-shot

One ticket landed. n = 1 is a story, not a strategy — there’s nothing live to mirror.

Not copyable — one-shot

Provisional

Fill log truncated in its largest market (the /activity endpoint's hard offset cap). See the evidence gate →

Polymarket displayed
$1.11M
MSR reconstructed
$917K
82.8% of displayed

Reconstruction error for all 25 wallets this cycle — including the ones we got wrong — is published in the reconstruction workpaper.

Directional
95.6%
Post-resolution
4%
Bilateral (two-sided)
0.4%

69% of buys are ≤$0.02 longshots — variance, not a process.

270446 fills · 812 markets · avg buy $0.28 · top market: Will there be no change in Fed interest rates

This wallet did not clear the copyability screen — only 6 of 25 earned a copyable rating. See the ones that did.

Institutional: get this decode — or any wallet or cohort — as a decision-grade forensic audit. For funds, platforms & compliance teams →

Nominate the next public decode