MSR DECODE · July 2026 cycle · №14 of 25
Allezpapa
0xe549581668a5751c1972d3ad2d1991d900bd2d54
$1.7M · 30-day displayed profit
Insufficient evidence
The available records do not support a reliable reconstruction under the July 2026 method. The limitations are explained below.
Not established under the July method
Insufficient data
Polymarket displayed
$1.67M
MSR reconstructed
$2.41M
144.5% of displayed
Reconstruction error for all 25 wallets this cycle is published in full in the reconstruction workpaper.
Directional
99.3%
Post-resolution
0%
Bilateral (two-sided)
0.7%
September 20, 2026 clarification. The reconstruction exceeds displayed profit on incomplete records. That difference does not validate the historical classification.
Historical July rationale: Over-reconstructs to 145% on a fill log our own engine flags truncated — an overshoot a partial log can produce on its own. The gap is unreconciled.
The book won’t reconcile from public data, so we don’t guess. That refusal is the product. Our verbatim rationale for this wallet is on file in the reconstruction workpaper, next to the errors on the wallets we did score.
47,271 fills · 141 markets · avg buy $0.515 · top market: UFC 329: Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor (Wel
This wallet did not clear the copyability screen — only 6 of 25 earned a copyable rating. See the ones that did.
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