0xc41d…74fd

$1.0M · 30-day displayed profit

Reconstruction error for all 25 wallets this cycle is published in full in the reconstruction workpaper.

September 20, 2026 clarification. The obsolete negative figure and the later over-reconstruction are different dated calculations. The limitation concerns the evidence, not an inference about the trader.

Historical July rationale: Reconstruction fails; directional shape, unverified.

The book won’t reconcile from public data, so we don’t guess. That refusal is the product. Our verbatim rationale for this wallet is on file in the reconstruction workpaper, next to the errors on the wallets we did score.

Corrected 2026-07-25. Re-fetching this wallet with the corrected pipeline measured 143.62% of displayed — an over-reconstruction — and a blind second implementation, run without access to ours, measured 143.22%. The -112.3% above was our data gap, not the wallet’s: it came from the fetch that silently omitted maker-side fills, the same failure we retracted in the endpoint case. The corrected figure still lands outside the ±15% band, so the verdict does not move, and the July 2026 cycle stays frozen on the fetch that produced it — the correction is published beside the original, not adopted. Source: scorecard-refetch-2026-07-25.json; the dated correction is on the Scorecard.

22,400 fills · 221 markets · avg buy $0.448 · top market: Will Brazil win on 2026-07-05?