MSR Decode

Scoped research pilots · limited availability

Decision-grade evidence on prediction-market wallets.

MSR Decode is an independent forensic research desk. We reconstruct how a Polymarket wallet actually made money — directional edge, arbitrage, market-making, reward farming, or one lucky ticket — and rate whether the edge is replicable. We are accepting inquiries for a limited number of scoped research pilots: we analyze public on-chain and exchange-published records under a disclosed method, and we retain editorial control over every conclusion. We do not route trades, and we do not offer a raw or live market-data feed. We monetize the evidence, never the execution.

25 wallets audited · 6 rated copyable 15 refused rather than guessed Forward ledger — public & append-only

Verdict-neutral Our revenue never depends on a positive verdict. The monitoring feed below is priced so we earn more when a verdict turns negative — the opposite incentive of any copy tool. Read the independence policy →

Scoped research pilots

Four ways to put the same forensic evidence to work — two available to scope today, two under evaluation. Every engagement is backward-looking research on public data: classification, not advice, and never a recommendation to route or copy a trade. Availability, delivery, and permitted downstream use are reviewed case by case and may depend on data rights, required permissions, and legal review.

Available to scope · one-off

Forensic Wallet Audit

A decision-grade memo on one wallet or a cohort: the verdict, the evidence-confidence gate, a fill-by-fill mechanism breakdown, and a methodology appendix — written to be checked: method, evidence grade, and limitations stated in the memo itself. Strictly backward-looking: mechanism, data-completeness, and replicability constraints. No sizing, no allocation call.

Research, risk & platform-diligence teams evaluating wallet claims

Scoped per request · single wallet or cohortFixed scope, scheduled delivery slot. Request scope & pricing below.
Available to scope · recurring

Monitoring Feed pays more on a negative flip

Standing alerts on a watchlist — verdict changes, data-completeness failures, and concentration warnings — delivered to Slack, email, or a webhook. Built so a risk or compliance team can prove it surfaced a flip. Verdict-neutral by construction: an unfavorable finding is worth more to you, and to us.

Risk & compliance teams · platforms with listing or integrity duties

Recurring, annual termTeam and enterprise tiers scoped on the call.
Under evaluation

Copyability API

We are evaluating machine-readable access to MSR verdicts — mechanism, evidence status, and verdict as a structured endpoint. Negative and “insufficient” verdicts would render identically and could not be suppressed — the neutrality would be enforced in the contract, not just the copy. Tell us the intended use.

Terminals, leaderboards & data tools

Under evaluation · not currently offeredNo self-serve product, commercial data license, or redistribution right is offered on this page. No copy-execution licensees.
Under evaluation

Institutional Dataset

Structured historical and prospective verdicts — including the append-only, prices-frozen Copyability Ledger; among the tools we inspected, we found nothing else like it. Every checkpoint is permanent and citable. We are evaluating structured access for internal research — tell us the intended use.

Researchers, quants & market infrastructure

Cite the public data freeStructured access under evaluation. No self-serve product, commercial data license, or redistribution right is offered on this page.

When a wallet ranking becomes an input to a research, platform, or risk decision, a leaderboard number is not enough: it collapses mechanism, evidence quality, and follower timing into one PnL figure. MSR Decode separates those questions — and publishes the failures as visibly as the passes.

Tell us what you’re evaluating

One founder reads every note and replies personally, usually within a business day. No sales sequence.

Got it. We’ll reply from a real person, usually within a business day.

Your email is used only to reply to this inquiry — see our privacy policy. MSR publishes research on public on-chain data; it does not route, execute, or hold funds, and nothing here is individualized investment advice.