{
 "$schema": "committed-inputs-artifact-v1",
 "purpose": "Committed per-market ledger behind the public case study cases/bnb-5min.html, decoding wallet 0x75973c667cec880353450be3a6f17c5da67b4421's July 17 2026 BNB \"Up or Down\" 5-minute quick-market session. Published so every figure on the case page is checkable against a source artifact, not just prose.",
 "subject": {
  "wallet": "0x75973c667cec880353450be3a6f17c5da67b4421",
  "sessionUtc": "2026-07-17T09:12:06Z – 2026-07-17T12:18:55Z",
  "sessionHours": 3.1
 },
 "verification": {
  "chain": [
   "Complete lifetime fetch of the wallet's on-chain activity, passed through a fetch-completeness gate before any analysis began.",
   "Independent decode plus a blind recompute (no prior draft or notes in context) that reproduced every dollar figure to the cent from raw fills, redemptions and merges.",
   "Two further adversarial verification passes — one financial, one mechanical — each recomputing every claim from raw data from scratch, including an independently re-pulled second source of Binance BNB/USDT 1-second klines."
  ],
  "note": "The per-market rows below are the ledger all three passes tied to exactly (to the cent, market by market and in aggregate)."
 },
 "markets": [
  {
   "conditionId": "0x478807c8809f3dd5acd82819d1a93ca5961f4a509499e8784b97919405b1d810",
   "question": "BNB Up or Down - July 17, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET",
   "windowStartEpoch": 1784279400,
   "sidesBought": "Up",
   "bilateral": false,
   "nFills": 3,
   "costUp": 2361.8795,
   "costDown": 0.0,
   "totalCost": 2361.8795,
   "redeemed": 11809.3975,
   "merged": 0.0,
   "netPnl": 9447.518,
   "winnerOutcome": "Up",
   "result": "WIN",
   "isOpenPosition": false,
   "firstFillElapsedS": 126,
   "lastFillElapsedS": 127,
   "firstFillRemainingS": 174,
   "lastFillRemainingS": 173
  },
  {
   "conditionId": "0x1bc3f395fe220a9183fcee907ef33bebd7238337aec57d3edd0079eb692f4ba8",
   "question": "BNB Up or Down - July 17, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET",
   "windowStartEpoch": 1784280000,
   "sidesBought": "Up",
   "bilateral": false,
   "nFills": 15,
   "costUp": 4807.5932,
   "costDown": 0.0,
   "totalCost": 4807.5932,
   "redeemed": 24037.966,
   "merged": 0.0,
   "netPnl": 19230.3728,
   "winnerOutcome": "Up",
   "result": "WIN",
   "isOpenPosition": false,
   "firstFillElapsedS": 81,
   "lastFillElapsedS": 123,
   "firstFillRemainingS": 219,
   "lastFillRemainingS": 177
  },
  {
   "conditionId": "0x7523af511e70aa407db33d2583dfe51b382ff56499e9eb5400c4023db170e6df",
   "question": "BNB Up or Down - July 17, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET",
   "windowStartEpoch": 1784280300,
   "sidesBought": "Up",
   "bilateral": false,
   "nFills": 5,
   "costUp": 3612.3451,
   "costDown": 0.0,
   "totalCost": 3612.3451,
   "redeemed": 36123.4514,
   "merged": 0.0,
   "netPnl": 32511.1063,
   "winnerOutcome": "Up",
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   "firstFillElapsedS": 213,
   "lastFillElapsedS": 214,
   "firstFillRemainingS": 87,
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  },
  {
   "conditionId": "0x33d253c8fed90abe8fe165172aadaab08a5821884b7c00bd08efdf585b83c8d8",
   "question": "BNB Up or Down - July 17, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET",
   "windowStartEpoch": 1784280600,
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   "bilateral": false,
   "nFills": 21,
   "costUp": 0.0,
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   "winnerOutcome": "Down",
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   "firstFillRemainingS": 74,
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  },
  {
   "conditionId": "0xa67087707a97b245a8493f2422d5bbea773f804f68d265e3f7b216a51ec5023c",
   "question": "BNB Up or Down - July 17, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET",
   "windowStartEpoch": 1784280900,
   "sidesBought": "Up",
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   "redeemed": 35494.1537,
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   "winnerOutcome": "Up",
   "result": "WIN",
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   "firstFillElapsedS": 97,
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   "firstFillRemainingS": 203,
   "lastFillRemainingS": 201
  },
  {
   "conditionId": "0x4573d13c6635d830bcb1845102e5a88dc5fa9b8441de34141f2baddf76b59ad0",
   "question": "BNB Up or Down - July 17, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET",
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  },
  {
   "conditionId": "0x97875a6b415a875dc5888290261d0f71d67d7a9415176e3b7a8cc465e8f1eb06",
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   "winnerOutcome": "Down",
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  },
  {
   "conditionId": "0x3875a2fd937ea71ba419e0205a3278dfa84788ed9a71aa66d45b8606238ba5dc",
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   "redeemed": 0.0,
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   "winnerOutcome": "Down",
   "result": "OPEN(loss-so-far,$0)",
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   "firstFillRemainingS": 78,
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  },
  {
   "conditionId": "0xbee6d12a3569447a77ca044c2b60d464269ace6317ee80343b5cf79f39bc7c18",
   "question": "BNB Up or Down - July 17, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET",
   "windowStartEpoch": 1784282100,
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   "redeemed": 58633.18,
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   "winnerOutcome": "Down",
   "result": "WIN",
   "isOpenPosition": false,
   "firstFillElapsedS": 196,
   "lastFillElapsedS": 198,
   "firstFillRemainingS": 104,
   "lastFillRemainingS": 102
  },
  {
   "conditionId": "0xd7691a148f8d595e68f8b97b26d47dd26ae5f33e4a94d6bcd250fc6311c65e8b",
   "question": "BNB Up or Down - July 17, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET",
   "windowStartEpoch": 1784282400,
   "sidesBought": "Up",
   "bilateral": false,
   "nFills": 10,
   "costUp": 36399.984,
   "costDown": 0.0,
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   "redeemed": 69999.9692,
   "merged": 0.0,
   "netPnl": 33599.9852,
   "winnerOutcome": "Up",
   "result": "WIN",
   "isOpenPosition": false,
   "firstFillElapsedS": 235,
   "lastFillElapsedS": 241,
   "firstFillRemainingS": 65,
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  },
  {
   "conditionId": "0xadd3440ad9bf434d31c3584564631d20d94e9385018f8a3d1b7cb2fa5a4ce1d6",
   "question": "BNB Up or Down - July 17, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET",
   "windowStartEpoch": 1784282700,
   "sidesBought": "Up",
   "bilateral": false,
   "nFills": 2,
   "costUp": 19744.4324,
   "costDown": 0.0,
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   "redeemed": 89747.42,
   "merged": 0.0,
   "netPnl": 70002.9876,
   "winnerOutcome": "Up",
   "result": "WIN",
   "isOpenPosition": false,
   "firstFillElapsedS": 235,
   "lastFillElapsedS": 237,
   "firstFillRemainingS": 65,
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  },
  {
   "conditionId": "0xb3574dd2b005c6d3f1d1dad4a06edf7361bf3273f4ac9500dc36d10f0fef9cb0",
   "question": "BNB Up or Down - July 17, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET",
   "windowStartEpoch": 1784283000,
   "sidesBought": "Down+Up",
   "bilateral": true,
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   "costUp": 59.73,
   "costDown": 1626.547,
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   "redeemed": 79.64,
   "merged": 0.0,
   "netPnl": -1606.637,
   "winnerOutcome": "Up",
   "result": "WIN",
   "isOpenPosition": false,
   "firstFillElapsedS": 229,
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   "firstFillRemainingS": 71,
   "lastFillRemainingS": 21
  },
  {
   "conditionId": "0x4e16bfd256481534fca6228307d8d518f82bc703818811ac1f489a87d87b4d14",
   "question": "BNB Up or Down - July 17, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET",
   "windowStartEpoch": 1784283300,
   "sidesBought": "Down",
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   "redeemed": 59999.9828,
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   "winnerOutcome": "Down",
   "result": "WIN",
   "isOpenPosition": false,
   "firstFillElapsedS": 187,
   "lastFillElapsedS": 217,
   "firstFillRemainingS": 113,
   "lastFillRemainingS": 83
  },
  {
   "conditionId": "0xb78362110fc131cce84a07d496846f07e34b2eec108e15ad943d83add706e7b3",
   "question": "BNB Up or Down - July 17, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET",
   "windowStartEpoch": 1784284200,
   "sidesBought": "Up",
   "bilateral": false,
   "nFills": 2,
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   "redeemed": 104903.41,
   "merged": 0.0,
   "netPnl": 83922.728,
   "winnerOutcome": "Up",
   "result": "WIN",
   "isOpenPosition": false,
   "firstFillElapsedS": 186,
   "lastFillElapsedS": 189,
   "firstFillRemainingS": 114,
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  },
  {
   "conditionId": "0x7a87c344c3d1809c52c9db8c1c74e7019597450dd53d7bd23e43a51f826842de",
   "question": "BNB Up or Down - July 17, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET",
   "windowStartEpoch": 1784285100,
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   "bilateral": true,
   "nFills": 8,
   "costUp": 14283.232,
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   "totalCost": 24371.2968,
   "redeemed": 0.0,
   "merged": 50440.324,
   "netPnl": 26069.0272,
   "winnerOutcome": "Down",
   "result": "OPEN(loss-so-far,$0)",
   "isOpenPosition": true,
   "firstFillElapsedS": -51,
   "lastFillElapsedS": -17,
   "firstFillRemainingS": 351,
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  },
  {
   "conditionId": "0x2b4b7e449bbf6ae00b57d3f40e15f70c08a10e91ad2c63e5df4243449f46cbf0",
   "question": "BNB Up or Down - July 17, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET",
   "windowStartEpoch": 1784285700,
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   "bilateral": false,
   "nFills": 7,
   "costUp": 0.0,
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   "totalCost": 18987.523,
   "redeemed": 94937.615,
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   "netPnl": 75950.092,
   "winnerOutcome": "Down",
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   "isOpenPosition": false,
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  },
  {
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   "question": "BNB Up or Down - July 17, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET",
   "windowStartEpoch": 1784286300,
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   "totalCost": 27437.15,
   "redeemed": 0.0,
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   "netPnl": -27437.15,
   "winnerOutcome": "Up",
   "result": "OPEN(loss-so-far,$0)",
   "isOpenPosition": true,
   "firstFillElapsedS": 9,
   "lastFillElapsedS": 10,
   "firstFillRemainingS": 291,
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  },
  {
   "conditionId": "0x9a080c46b078cff07915e2675f130aa9df88b71fbc5f9d5af5417b039877a509",
   "question": "BNB Up or Down - July 17, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET",
   "windowStartEpoch": 1784286900,
   "sidesBought": "Down",
   "bilateral": false,
   "nFills": 6,
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   "totalCost": 31529.5948,
   "redeemed": 95544.2267,
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   "netPnl": 64014.6319,
   "winnerOutcome": "Down",
   "result": "WIN",
   "isOpenPosition": false,
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  },
  {
   "conditionId": "0x9ddf03303c5b8d410baa44286861b12f281a07d778f6c1ba3cad7a929c824bcd",
   "question": "BNB Up or Down - July 17, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET",
   "windowStartEpoch": 1784287500,
   "sidesBought": "Down",
   "bilateral": false,
   "nFills": 2,
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   "totalCost": 19122.8985,
   "redeemed": 70825.55,
   "merged": 0.0,
   "netPnl": 51702.6515,
   "winnerOutcome": "Down",
   "result": "WIN",
   "isOpenPosition": false,
   "firstFillElapsedS": -188,
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  },
  {
   "conditionId": "0xcdf62221f9c3adcc700765fc03b449fa6c60bf2652941308796baa10222144e7",
   "question": "BNB Up or Down - July 17, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET",
   "windowStartEpoch": 1784287800,
   "sidesBought": "Down",
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   "nFills": 2,
   "costUp": 0.0,
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  },
  {
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   "question": "BNB Up or Down - July 17, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET",
   "windowStartEpoch": 1784288100,
   "sidesBought": "Up",
   "bilateral": false,
   "nFills": 3,
   "costUp": 37557.416,
   "costDown": 0.0,
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   "redeemed": 93893.54,
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   "netPnl": 56336.124,
   "winnerOutcome": "Up",
   "result": "WIN",
   "isOpenPosition": false,
   "firstFillElapsedS": 108,
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   "firstFillRemainingS": 192,
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  },
  {
   "conditionId": "0x8fca6b7628b174867bffb49105e2d70e6c57e1caafbc58cfc54af4521cf9cf85",
   "question": "BNB Up or Down - July 17, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET",
   "windowStartEpoch": 1784289000,
   "sidesBought": "Up",
   "bilateral": false,
   "nFills": 2,
   "costUp": 14005.631,
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   "redeemed": 140056.31,
   "merged": 0.0,
   "netPnl": 126050.679,
   "winnerOutcome": "Up",
   "result": "WIN",
   "isOpenPosition": false,
   "firstFillElapsedS": -458,
   "lastFillElapsedS": -455,
   "firstFillRemainingS": 758,
   "lastFillRemainingS": 755
  },
  {
   "conditionId": "0x02f17e19b266540e18bc3dead7a2a28ca649edfe1888078f14c9c5917f91ca85",
   "question": "BNB Up or Down - July 17, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET",
   "windowStartEpoch": 1784290200,
   "sidesBought": "Up",
   "bilateral": false,
   "nFills": 1,
   "costUp": 40062.5631,
   "costDown": 0.0,
   "totalCost": 40062.5631,
   "redeemed": 50000.0,
   "merged": 0.0,
   "netPnl": 9937.4369,
   "winnerOutcome": "Up",
   "result": "WIN",
   "isOpenPosition": false,
   "firstFillElapsedS": -110,
   "lastFillElapsedS": -110,
   "firstFillRemainingS": 410,
   "lastFillRemainingS": 410
  },
  {
   "conditionId": "0x04599967f9eb6a47ac6501863579aa86548f656cf74b801974bafe499b10885f",
   "question": "BNB Up or Down - July 17, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET",
   "windowStartEpoch": 1784290800,
   "sidesBought": "Down",
   "bilateral": false,
   "nFills": 4,
   "costUp": 0.0,
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   "redeemed": 86760.0094,
   "merged": 0.0,
   "netPnl": 58129.2063,
   "winnerOutcome": "Down",
   "result": "WIN",
   "isOpenPosition": false,
   "firstFillElapsedS": -69,
   "lastFillElapsedS": -65,
   "firstFillRemainingS": 369,
   "lastFillRemainingS": 365
  }
 ],
 "summary": {
  "nMarkets": 24,
  "nFillsTotal": 139,
  "totalCost": 449469.6941,
  "totalRedeemed": 1316340.8982,
  "totalMerged": 50440.324,
  "netRealizedExRebates": 917311.5281,
  "rebatesTaker": 10.0,
  "rebatesMaker": 3857.273,
  "netRealizedInclRebates": 921178.8011,
  "marketsNetPositive": 21,
  "marketsNetNegative": 3
 }
}
